Potential Impact Events Caused by near-Earth Objects Codexery

1991 BA

A lost Apollo asteroid with a brief observation arc.

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1991 BA is a sub-kilometer asteroid of the Apollo group, first observed by Spacewatch on 18 January 1991. It passed within 160,000 km of Earth, less than half the distance to the Moon, and is considered lost due to a short observation arc. It may be a member of the Beta Taurids.

Possible impact

The asteroid's trajectory is highly uncertain due to a brief five-hour observation arc. Virtual clones suggested a 1 in 290,000 chance of a 16-kiloton airburst impact on January 18, 2023, which did not happen. Such impacts occur about once yearly. A 1 in a million impact risk exists for January 19, 2114.

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Sources

Compiled from Wikipedia and the sources listed below. Text from Wikipedia is available under CC BY-SA 4.0; this entry is adapted from it.

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